Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.927890 4.210135 4.511422 4.858467 5.249075 5.677352 6.185522
2025-06-15 3.502302 3.903185 4.358795 4.921187 5.605682 6.423991 7.495783
2025-06-22 3.124612 3.564579 4.084132 4.754276 5.613418 6.704428 8.241871
2025-06-29 2.870562 3.332626 3.894378 4.644246 5.646663 6.985454 8.996832
2025-07-06 2.678513 3.153761 3.745354 4.557867 5.683403 7.254707 9.757895
2025-07-13 2.546034 3.036180 3.659607 4.538803 5.798650 7.635354 10.741144
2025-07-20 2.469254 2.982231 3.648994 4.615139 6.049561 8.240853 12.203304
2025-07-27 2.411713 2.947786 3.659069 4.717118 6.344127 8.951114 14.015443
2025-08-03 2.330305 2.875179 3.610029 4.726438 6.493416 9.441145 15.541317
2025-08-10 2.235520 2.778473 3.520140 4.665906 6.521990 9.723116 16.716865
2025-08-17 2.130902 2.662789 3.396251 4.543630 6.435411 9.783169 17.420946
2025-08-24 2.045571 2.570005 3.300103 4.456805 6.398744 9.928656 18.364813
2025-08-31 1.987902 2.516422 3.262068 4.464794 6.537030 10.454656 20.502593
2025-09-07 1.946801 2.484830 3.255128 4.522788 6.772273 11.224745 23.680471
2025-09-14 1.856033 2.377518 3.128947 4.376564 6.619927 11.154535 24.376455
2025-09-21 1.784316 2.295032 3.036366 4.279818 6.550194 11.254181 25.675520
2025-09-28 1.722828 2.225016 2.959344 4.203739 6.511506 11.416600 27.282447
2025-10-05 1.679670 2.180265 2.918969 4.186935 6.585199 11.853080 30.162379
2025-10-12 1.658730 2.167480 2.927340 4.254194 6.831883 12.759127 35.662460
2025-10-19 1.643797 2.162866 2.947963 4.343927 7.134897 13.886158 43.486581
2025-10-26 1.612203 2.131641 2.924324 4.352121 7.266853 14.589206 50.121318
2025-11-02 1.569695 2.082231 2.869088 4.298882 7.259738 14.897569 54.855238
2025-11-09 1.518331 2.017688 2.786832 4.191189 7.122456 14.796948 56.742674